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Red45
645927.6
94798.1
90293.4
Blue14
64315.7
96104.8
76369.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions232804060801004514

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.62.0
12.614.7
Auto9.5
Teleop17.3
End0.9
red by 18.1
7636
#17
9.60.7
10.39.6
Auto3.3
Teleop5.4
End0.9
Second
9479
#26
8.12.0
5.97.9
Auto2.8
Teleop4.5
End0.9
red by 2.4
6431
#35
5.70.7
6.35.6
Auto2.8
Teleop2.2
End0.7
Third
9029
#48
3.42.0
3.25.2
Auto1.7
Teleop1.4
End0.3
blue by 1.4
9610
#49
4.81.2
7.96.7
Auto2.6
Teleop1.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed