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Red8
94225.9
69883.7
64315.7
Blue73
763221.8
74664.9
76369.6
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23480103040607080873

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9422
#38
5.91.5
5.97.4
Auto1.8
Teleop3.4
End0.8
blue by 15.9
7632
#30
21.80.1
22.422.3
Auto9.9
Teleop10.3
End1.7
Second
6431
#35
5.71.4
6.55.1
Auto2.8
Teleop2.2
End0.7
blue by 3.9
7636
#17
9.60.1
10.510.3
Auto3.3
Teleop5.4
End0.9
Third
6988
#46
3.71.7
8.06.3
Auto1.9
Teleop1.2
End0.5
blue by 1.2
7466
#42
4.90.2
7.67.4
Auto2.5
Teleop1.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsEarned