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Red31
900113.9
94091.1
805810.8
Blue7
96257.0
82617.3
908910.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3327010204050607080317

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9001
#10
13.90.2
10.510.7
Auto3.9
Teleop8.1
End1.9
red by 3.5
9089
#25
10.42.2
6.44.2
Auto5.7
Teleop4.5
End0.2
Second
8058
#18
10.80.3
9.19.3
Auto4.3
Teleop5.8
End0.7
red by 3.5
8261
#39
7.32.2
9.27.0
Auto2.1
Teleop4.3
End0.9
Third
9409
#50
1.18.7
0.79.4
Auto1.0
Teleop-0.1
End0.2
blue by 6.0
9625
#23
7.01.2
8.17.0
Auto2.9
Teleop3.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed