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Red18
94517.0
69883.7
80799.2
Blue34
698517.2
805810.8
91594.4
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions223701030405060701834

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8079
#14
9.21.0
7.76.7
Auto2.8
Teleop5.4
End0.9
blue by 8.1
17.21.0
15.014.0
Auto5.4
Teleop8.4
End3.5
Second
9451
#41
7.01.0
8.37.4
Auto3.4
Teleop2.7
End0.8
blue by 3.8
8058
#18
10.81.0
10.08.9
Auto4.3
Teleop5.8
End0.7
Third
6988
#46
3.71.0
5.64.6
Auto1.9
Teleop1.2
End0.5
blue by 0.8
9159
#44
4.41.0
6.35.3
Auto2.8
Teleop1.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed