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Red86
902415.2
91594.4
461336.2
Blue20
87995.7
94091.1
94225.9
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions521704060801008620

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.22.5
24.927.4
Auto14.9
Teleop19.9
End1.5
red by 30.3
9422
#38
5.91.5
5.94.4
Auto1.8
Teleop3.4
End0.8
Second
9024
#15
15.21.5
13.014.5
Auto6.2
Teleop7.9
End1.1
red by 9.5
8799
#45
5.71.5
10.79.2
Auto2.9
Teleop1.8
End1.0
Third
9159
#44
4.42.5
5.37.8
Auto2.8
Teleop1.1
End0.5
red by 3.4
9409
#50
1.11.5
3.11.5
Auto1.0
Teleop-0.1
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsEarned15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
28%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed