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Red38
82096.9
698517.2
81536.1
Blue25
94688.1
805810.8
87957.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3031102040503825

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.21.1
14.015.1
Auto5.4
Teleop8.4
End3.5
red by 6.4
8058
#18
10.82.2
8.96.8
Auto4.3
Teleop5.8
End0.7
Second
8209
#43
6.91.1
9.210.3
Auto3.3
Teleop3.0
End0.6
blue by 1.2
9468
#33
8.12.2
7.35.1
Auto2.3
Teleop4.9
End0.8
Third
8153
#34
6.11.1
4.96.0
Auto1.2
Teleop4.6
End0.3
blue by 1.2
8795
#16
7.32.2
11.49.2
Auto4.8
Teleop1.6
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed26%Ensemble oddsMissed