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Red64
94688.1
900113.9
645927.6
Blue42
96478.7
872524.8
88004.2
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions314102060801006442

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.63.8
14.718.5
Auto9.5
Teleop17.3
End0.9
red by 2.8
8725
#12
24.80.1
22.422.5
Auto12.8
Teleop11.4
End0.6
Second
9001
#10
13.92.3
9.812.1
Auto3.9
Teleop8.1
End1.9
red by 5.2
9647
#31
8.70.1
8.18.2
Auto3.6
Teleop4.2
End0.9
Third
9468
#33
8.13.8
5.19.0
Auto2.3
Teleop4.9
End0.8
red by 3.9
8800
#22
4.20.1
5.35.4
Auto1.8
Teleop1.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsEarned22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed