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Red27
90435.0
857028.0
902010.1
Blue7
69883.7
87995.7
91741.6
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions381706080277

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.00.6
18.217.7
Auto11.1
Teleop15.0
End1.9
red by 22.3
8799
#45
5.71.2
9.27.9
Auto2.9
Teleop1.8
End1.0
Second
9020
#21
10.10.6
6.66.0
Auto5.8
Teleop3.5
End0.7
red by 6.4
6988
#46
3.71.2
4.12.8
Auto1.9
Teleop1.2
End0.5
Third
9043
#37
5.00.3
7.26.9
Auto4.2
Teleop0.4
End0.4
red by 3.4
9174
#47
1.61.2
4.73.5
Auto1.0
Teleop-0.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed