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Red43
698517.2
80799.2
808414.4
Blue75
757612.9
461336.2
96257.0
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33480204060804375

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.21.3
15.116.4
Auto5.4
Teleop8.4
End3.5
blue by 19.0
36.22.6
27.430.0
Auto14.9
Teleop19.9
End1.5
Second
8084
#40
14.41.3
11.412.7
Auto6.0
Teleop6.3
End2.1
red by 1.5
7576
#11
12.92.6
9.311.9
Auto5.7
Teleop6.6
End0.7
Third
8079
#14
9.21.3
5.06.3
Auto2.8
Teleop5.4
End0.9
red by 2.1
9625
#23
7.02.6
4.87.4
Auto2.9
Teleop3.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed38%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed41%Ensemble oddsMissed