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Red32
91594.4
76369.6
698910.1
Blue54
601415.1
908910.4
812714.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32401020506070803254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6989
#24
10.10.9
12.411.4
Auto4.6
Teleop5.0
End0.5
blue by 5.0
15.10.6
16.517.1
Auto10.4
Teleop4.2
End0.6
Second
7636
#17
9.60.5
10.19.5
Auto3.3
Teleop5.4
End0.9
blue by 4.9
8127
#27
14.40.6
12.012.6
Auto6.0
Teleop7.8
End0.7
Third
9159
#44
4.40.9
7.86.9
Auto2.8
Teleop1.1
End0.5
blue by 5.9
9089
#25
10.41.0
6.77.7
Auto5.7
Teleop4.5
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed29%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed