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Red55
872524.8
80799.2
900113.9
Blue45
87995.7
812714.4
763221.8
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4549204060801005545

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8725
#12
24.80.6
22.523.1
Auto12.8
Teleop11.4
End0.6
red by 3.0
7632
#30
21.80.3
23.223.0
Auto9.9
Teleop10.3
End1.7
Second
9001
#10
13.90.6
12.112.7
Auto3.9
Teleop8.1
End1.9
blue by 0.6
8127
#27
14.40.3
12.612.3
Auto6.0
Teleop7.8
End0.7
Third
8079
#14
9.21.0
6.37.3
Auto2.8
Teleop5.4
End0.9
red by 3.5
8799
#45
5.70.4
7.97.5
Auto2.9
Teleop1.8
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed