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Red72
908910.4
902010.1
461336.2
Blue87
857028.0
645927.6
81536.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions494401001502002507287

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.21.2
30.031.3
Auto14.9
Teleop19.9
End1.5
red by 8.2
28.03.5
17.721.2
Auto11.1
Teleop15.0
End1.9
Second
9089
#25
10.41.2
7.79.0
Auto5.7
Teleop4.5
End0.2
blue by 17.3
27.63.5
18.522.0
Auto9.5
Teleop17.3
End0.9
Third
9020
#21
10.11.2
6.07.3
Auto5.8
Teleop3.5
End0.7
red by 4.0
8153
#34
6.13.5
4.37.8
Auto1.2
Teleop4.6
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
45%Melody oddsEarned33%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsEarned