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Red55
902010.1
805610.8
698517.2
Blue30
74664.9
94977.0
812714.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4122060805530

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.20.9
16.417.3
Auto5.4
Teleop8.4
End3.5
red by 2.8
8127
#27
14.40.3
13.113.3
Auto6.0
Teleop7.8
End0.7
Second
8056
#28
10.80.9
11.212.1
Auto3.3
Teleop6.4
End1.1
red by 3.8
9497
#51
7.00.4
5.45.8
Auto3.1
Teleop3.6
End0.4
Third
9020
#21
10.10.8
7.38.1
Auto5.8
Teleop3.5
End0.7
red by 5.2
7466
#42
4.90.4
3.84.2
Auto2.5
Teleop1.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsEarned6%Ensemble oddsMissed