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Red30
76369.6
96257.0
91329.3
Blue25
755110.8
87995.7
94688.1
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27330102040506070803025

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7636
#17
9.60.2
8.68.4
Auto3.3
Teleop5.4
End0.9
blue by 1.2
7551
#36
10.80.3
12.912.6
Auto4.2
Teleop4.8
End1.9
Second
9132
#32
9.30.2
8.88.5
Auto4.3
Teleop3.8
End1.3
red by 1.2
9468
#33
8.10.5
8.98.5
Auto2.3
Teleop4.9
End0.8
Third
9625
#23
7.00.2
8.17.8
Auto2.9
Teleop3.1
End1.0
red by 1.3
8799
#45
5.70.5
7.57.1
Auto2.9
Teleop1.8
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed