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Red43
90435.0
694132.5
75704.6
Blue19
87957.3
91594.4
900113.9
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions562702040801001204319

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.51.1
35.634.5
Auto13.2
Teleop18.7
End0.6
red by 18.6
9001
#10
13.90.7
12.711.9
Auto3.9
Teleop8.1
End1.9
Second
9043
#37
5.01.1
6.25.1
Auto4.2
Teleop0.4
End0.4
blue by 2.3
8795
#16
7.31.1
9.48.3
Auto4.8
Teleop1.6
End0.9
Third
7570
#29
4.61.8
5.53.7
Auto1.6
Teleop2.2
End0.7
red by 0.1
9159
#44
4.41.1
5.84.7
Auto2.8
Teleop1.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsEarned5%Ensemble oddsMissed