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Red43
94091.1
880630.4
82096.9
Blue58
80799.2
601415.1
645927.6
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions415302060801004358

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.40.3
27.227.5
Auto13.1
Teleop14.3
End2.9
red by 2.7
27.60.7
24.024.6
Auto9.5
Teleop17.3
End0.9
Second
8209
#43
6.90.5
9.710.2
Auto3.3
Teleop3.0
End0.6
blue by 8.3
15.10.4
17.117.5
Auto10.4
Teleop4.2
End0.6
Third
9409
#50
1.10.5
1.31.8
Auto1.0
Teleop-0.1
End0.2
blue by 8.1
8079
#14
9.20.7
5.66.3
Auto2.8
Teleop5.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed40%Ensemble oddsMissed