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Red10
698910.1
95475.7
69883.7
Blue23
805610.8
81536.1
757612.9
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions253702060801023

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6989
#24
10.11.8
11.810.0
Auto4.6
Teleop5.0
End0.5
blue by 2.8
7576
#11
12.90.9
12.011.1
Auto5.7
Teleop6.6
End0.7
Second
9547
#13
5.71.2
5.54.3
Auto2.9
Teleop2.1
End0.7
blue by 5.1
8056
#28
10.80.9
12.111.2
Auto3.3
Teleop6.4
End1.1
Third
6988
#46
3.71.8
6.34.5
Auto1.9
Teleop1.2
End0.5
blue by 2.4
8153
#34
6.10.9
7.86.9
Auto1.2
Teleop4.6
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed