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Red62
805810.8
94225.9
566512.6
Blue1
96478.7
91741.6
90293.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27170102030405060621

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5665
#19
12.61.3
8.810.1
Auto3.4
Teleop8.4
End0.9
red by 3.9
9647
#31
8.71.0
8.67.6
Auto3.6
Teleop4.2
End0.9
Second
8058
#18
10.81.3
8.59.8
Auto4.3
Teleop5.8
End0.7
red by 7.4
9029
#48
3.41.6
3.82.2
Auto1.7
Teleop1.4
End0.3
Third
9422
#38
5.91.2
5.87.0
Auto1.8
Teleop3.4
End0.8
red by 4.3
9174
#47
1.61.6
3.92.3
Auto1.0
Teleop-0.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsEarned15%Ensemble oddsMissed