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Red89
698517.2
805424.5
857028.0
Blue16
763221.8
601415.1
82096.9
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7353204060801001208916

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.01.5
24.225.6
Auto11.1
Teleop15.0
End1.9
red by 6.2
7632
#30
21.82.3
22.920.6
Auto9.9
Teleop10.3
End1.7
Second
24.51.5
22.323.8
Auto11.2
Teleop11.7
End1.6
red by 9.4
15.12.3
17.515.2
Auto10.4
Teleop4.2
End0.6
Third
17.21.5
17.218.7
Auto5.4
Teleop8.4
End3.5
red by 10.4
8209
#43
6.93.3
10.26.9
Auto3.3
Teleop3.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
40%Melody oddsEarned12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
30%Ensemble oddsEarned16%Ensemble oddsMissed