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Red31
808414.4
908910.4
91594.4
Blue57
902010.1
645927.6
95475.7
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions304302060803157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8084
#40
14.40.3
14.714.4
Auto6.0
Teleop6.3
End2.1
blue by 13.2
27.61.9
24.626.6
Auto9.5
Teleop17.3
End0.9
Second
9089
#25
10.40.3
9.39.0
Auto5.7
Teleop4.5
End0.2
red by 0.3
9020
#21
10.11.9
8.110.1
Auto5.8
Teleop3.5
End0.7
Third
9159
#44
4.40.3
4.74.4
Auto2.8
Teleop1.1
End0.5
blue by 1.2
9547
#13
5.71.3
4.35.7
Auto2.9
Teleop2.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed27%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
3%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed