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Red33
805810.8
698910.1
90435.0
Blue45
76369.6
75704.6
872524.8
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25420102030506070803345

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8058
#18
10.80.2
9.89.6
Auto4.3
Teleop5.8
End0.7
blue by 14.0
8725
#12
24.80.6
24.024.6
Auto12.8
Teleop11.4
End0.6
Second
6989
#24
10.10.2
10.09.8
Auto4.6
Teleop5.0
End0.5
red by 0.5
7636
#17
9.60.6
8.49.0
Auto3.3
Teleop5.4
End0.9
Third
9043
#37
5.00.1
5.15.0
Auto4.2
Teleop0.4
End0.4
red by 0.4
7570
#29
4.60.9
3.74.6
Auto1.6
Teleop2.2
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsEarned17%Ensemble oddsMissed