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Red58
694132.5
82617.3
87995.7
Blue46
74664.9
816916.6
757612.9
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions602902040801001205846

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.50.9
34.533.6
Auto13.2
Teleop18.7
End0.6
red by 15.9
8169
#20
16.61.1
15.616.6
Auto7.9
Teleop7.4
End1.3
Second
8261
#39
7.31.4
8.67.3
Auto2.1
Teleop4.3
End0.9
blue by 5.6
7576
#11
12.91.6
11.112.6
Auto5.7
Teleop6.6
End0.7
Third
8799
#45
5.71.4
7.15.7
Auto2.9
Teleop1.8
End1.0
red by 0.8
7466
#42
4.91.7
3.24.9
Auto2.5
Teleop1.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsEarned12%Ensemble oddsMissed