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Red2
94733.4
90207.4
94090.7
Blue34
698913.1
565510.8
90295.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2226010304050234

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9020
#38
7.41.6
10.18.4
Auto4.1
Teleop2.8
End0.6
blue by 5.7
6989
#23
13.10.6
10.110.7
Auto5.2
Teleop7.4
End0.5
Second
9473
#52
3.43.7
3.47.1
Auto1.9
Teleop0.1
End1.4
blue by 7.4
5655
#35
10.80.8
9.610.4
Auto7.0
Teleop2.9
End1.0
Third
9409
#40
0.71.6
1.1-0.6
Auto-0.6
Teleop1.2
End0.2
blue by 4.2
9029
#44
5.00.6
3.44.0
Auto1.4
Teleop3.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed