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Red23
757620.0
85617.0
87832.7
Blue13
850012.2
87988.4
90287.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3127010204050602313

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.00.8
12.912.1
Auto7.2
Teleop11.8
End1.0
red by 7.8
8500
#26
12.20.9
7.76.8
Auto5.0
Teleop6.6
End0.6
Second
8561
#27
7.00.8
7.66.8
Auto3.6
Teleop2.0
End1.5
blue by 1.4
8798
#20
8.41.6
9.07.5
Auto2.2
Teleop5.8
End0.4
Third
8783
#45
2.71.0
7.46.4
Auto1.0
Teleop1.6
End0.0
blue by 4.3
9028
#46
7.01.6
8.26.7
Auto1.6
Teleop5.0
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed