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Red47
85617.0
969413.1
815925.7
Blue39
90746.1
90295.0
566518.4
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions472304060801004739

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.70.2
25.025.2
Auto14.1
Teleop10.9
End0.8
red by 7.3
18.41.4
14.115.5
Auto5.3
Teleop12.0
End1.1
Second
9694
#24
13.10.2
8.08.2
Auto4.6
Teleop7.8
End0.6
red by 7.0
9074
#42
6.11.7
5.67.3
Auto2.2
Teleop2.9
End1.0
Third
8561
#27
7.00.2
6.87.0
Auto3.6
Teleop2.0
End1.5
red by 2.0
9029
#44
5.01.2
4.05.3
Auto1.4
Teleop3.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed