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Red74
753926.3
94418.0
902113.2
Blue24
91854.1
767211.7
95839.1
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363201020405060707424

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.32.5
16.719.1
Auto12.4
Teleop12.5
End1.3
red by 14.5
7672
#31
11.70.4
12.211.8
Auto6.9
Teleop3.7
End1.1
Second
9021
#22
13.23.4
8.812.1
Auto4.5
Teleop7.6
End1.1
red by 4.1
9583
#39
9.10.4
10.19.7
Auto4.2
Teleop3.8
End1.1
Third
9441
#41
8.03.4
6.49.7
Auto3.0
Teleop3.8
End1.2
red by 4.0
9185
#50
4.10.6
6.76.2
Auto1.3
Teleop2.3
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsEarned17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed