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Red46
69408.7
969221.2
90779.4
Blue66
72285.9
757620.0
91609.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413001020506070804666

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9692
#12
21.20.8
17.918.7
Auto8.0
Teleop11.0
End2.2
red by 1.2
20.03.1
12.115.2
Auto7.2
Teleop11.8
End1.0
Second
9077
#32
9.41.1
11.112.3
Auto1.6
Teleop5.8
End2.0
red by 0.2
9160
#37
9.24.2
8.012.1
Auto5.5
Teleop2.9
End0.7
Third
6940
#33
8.71.1
6.98.0
Auto0.4
Teleop7.5
End0.8
red by 2.9
7228
#53DQ
5.94.2
8.212.4
Auto2.8
Teleop2.6
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed