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Red51
90746.1
69408.7
815925.7
Blue34
81469.5
90936.7
902113.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48260204060801005134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.71.1
25.224.1
Auto14.1
Teleop10.9
End0.8
red by 12.5
9021
#22Sur
13.20.7
12.112.8
Auto4.5
Teleop7.6
End1.1
Second
6940
#33
8.71.6
8.06.4
Auto0.4
Teleop7.5
End0.8
blue by 0.8
8146
#21
9.50.7
9.410.1
Auto4.8
Teleop3.5
End1.3
Third
9074
#42Sur
6.11.6
7.35.7
Auto2.2
Teleop2.9
End1.0
blue by 0.6
9093
#48
6.70.7
4.55.2
Auto4.4
Teleop1.8
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsEarned16%Ensemble oddsMissed