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Red71
72285.9
641717.3
645933.5
Blue16
923211.6
85617.0
81512.4
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions701704060801001201407116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.50.3
27.828.1
Auto12.9
Teleop19.1
End1.5
red by 21.9
9232
#13
11.60.4
8.27.8
Auto7.3
Teleop2.5
End1.8
Second
6417
#47Sur
17.30.3
17.017.3
Auto5.7
Teleop9.6
End2.0
red by 10.3
8561
#27
7.00.4
7.06.6
Auto3.6
Teleop2.0
End1.5
Third
7228
#53DQ
5.90.4
12.412.8
Auto2.8
Teleop2.6
End0.4
red by 3.5
8151
#51
2.40.6
6.45.8
Auto2.1
Teleop-0.2
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
57%Melody oddsEarned10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed