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Qual 212024 Marmara Regional
Red72
566518.4
94733.4
969221.2
Blue3
91854.1
87832.7
90207.4
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47180406080100723

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9692
#12
21.21.6
18.7→20.3
Auto8.0
Teleop11.0
End2.2
red by 13.8
9020
#38
7.41.2
8.3→7.1
Auto4.1
Teleop2.8
End0.6
Second
5665
#5
18.41.7
15.5→17.2
Auto5.3
Teleop12.0
End1.1
red by 14.4
9185
#50
4.11.9
6.2→4.3
Auto1.3
Teleop2.3
End0.4
Third
9473
#52
3.42.3
4.8→7.1
Auto1.9
Teleop0.1
End1.4
red by 0.8
8783
#45
2.71.9
5.1→3.3
Auto1.0
Teleop1.6
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsEarned7%Ensemble oddsMissed