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Red35
818210.2
969413.1
752223.3
Blue74
687416.6
753926.3
96016.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44432030405060703574

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.30.3
19.819.5
Auto9.7
Teleop13.3
End0.3
blue by 3.0
26.30.7
19.119.8
Auto12.4
Teleop12.5
End1.3
Second
9694
#24
13.10.4
8.27.8
Auto4.6
Teleop7.8
End0.6
blue by 3.5
6874
#10
16.60.7
11.612.3
Auto3.5
Teleop12.5
End0.6
Third
8182
#49
10.20.4
10.610.2
Auto6.0
Teleop3.0
End1.2
red by 4.1
9601
#18
6.11.1
8.79.7
Auto3.8
Teleop1.3
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsEarned