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Red56
752223.3
90287.0
90936.7
Blue90
94673.7
850012.2
566518.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373202060801001201405690

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.31.0
20.521.4
Auto9.7
Teleop13.3
End0.3
red by 4.8
18.40.7
16.116.8
Auto5.3
Teleop12.0
End1.1
Second
9028
#46
7.01.6
6.58.1
Auto1.6
Teleop5.0
End0.3
blue by 5.2
8500
#26
12.20.7
9.610.3
Auto5.0
Teleop6.6
End0.6
Third
9093
#48
6.71.6
5.77.3
Auto4.4
Teleop1.8
End0.5
red by 3.0
9467
#28
3.71.1
3.95.1
Auto1.8
Teleop0.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed24%Ensemble oddsMissed