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Red48
923211.6
96016.1
815925.7
Blue22
577311.1
94733.4
767211.7
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50250204060801004822

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.70.4
24.724.3
Auto14.1
Teleop10.9
End0.8
red by 14.0
7672
#31
11.70.6
10.610.0
Auto6.9
Teleop3.7
End1.1
Second
9232
#13
11.60.4
8.37.9
Auto7.3
Teleop2.5
End1.8
red by 0.5
5773
#17
11.11.0
9.48.5
Auto3.3
Teleop7.2
End0.6
Third
9601
#18
6.10.7
9.08.3
Auto3.8
Teleop1.3
End1.0
red by 2.7
9473
#52
3.41.0
5.94.9
Auto1.9
Teleop0.1
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed