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Red16
602413.8
81512.4
96016.1
Blue107
805422.1
948344.7
87832.7
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2675020406010012016107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6024
#30
13.81.9
14.913.0
Auto7.8
Teleop5.5
End0.5
blue by 30.9
44.71.1
38.439.5
Auto19.8
Teleop23.6
End1.3
Second
9601
#18
6.13.1
8.35.1
Auto3.8
Teleop1.3
End1.0
blue by 16.0
22.11.1
21.522.6
Auto9.6
Teleop11.1
End1.4
Third
8151
#51
2.43.1
6.13.0
Auto2.1
Teleop-0.2
End0.5
blue by 0.3
8783
#45
2.71.8
2.23.9
Auto1.0
Teleop1.6
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed69%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed28%Ensemble oddsEarned