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Red64
752223.3
92816.6
645933.5
Blue20
90295.0
96906.4
767211.7
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions701904060801001201406420

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.50.4
30.731.2
Auto12.9
Teleop19.1
End1.5
red by 21.8
7672
#31
11.70.2
10.09.8
Auto6.9
Teleop3.7
End1.1
Second
23.30.4
20.721.2
Auto9.7
Teleop13.3
End0.3
red by 16.8
9690
#34
6.40.2
6.86.6
Auto1.6
Teleop4.3
End0.5
Third
9281
#36
6.60.4
6.16.5
Auto3.5
Teleop2.3
End0.8
red by 1.6
9029
#44
5.00.2
6.26.0
Auto1.4
Teleop3.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
44%Melody oddsEarned5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed