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Red12
90207.4
94403.6
72285.9
Blue54
805422.1
94090.7
752223.3
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions195304060801001254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9020
#38
7.40.6
8.37.7
Auto4.1
Teleop2.8
End0.6
blue by 15.9
23.30.7
21.221.8
Auto9.7
Teleop13.3
End0.3
Second
7228
#53DQ
5.91.0
8.87.8
Auto2.8
Teleop2.6
End0.4
blue by 16.2
22.10.7
22.022.6
Auto9.6
Teleop11.1
End1.4
Third
9440
#11
3.60.6
4.33.6
Auto2.4
Teleop0.3
End0.9
red by 2.8
9409
#40
0.70.7
0.91.5
Auto-0.6
Teleop1.2
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed28%Ensemble oddsMissed