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Red20
850012.2
952311.7
90295.0
Blue65
687416.6
767211.7
969221.2
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31510204060801002065

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8500
#26
12.21.0
11.110.0
Auto5.0
Teleop6.6
End0.6
blue by 9.1
9692
#12
21.20.8
19.520.2
Auto8.0
Teleop11.0
End2.2
Second
9523
#15
11.71.0
13.312.2
Auto3.8
Teleop7.4
End0.5
blue by 4.9
6874
#10
16.60.8
14.415.2
Auto3.5
Teleop12.5
End0.6
Third
9029
#44
5.01.0
6.05.0
Auto1.4
Teleop3.1
End0.5
blue by 6.8
7672
#31
11.70.8
9.810.5
Auto6.9
Teleop3.7
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsMissed