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Red47
969221.2
954511.1
96016.1
Blue44
641717.3
80706.1
74399.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3939203050604744

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9692
#12
21.20.9
17.017.9
Auto8.0
Teleop11.0
End2.2
red by 4.0
6417
#47
17.31.0
17.816.8
Auto5.7
Teleop9.6
End2.0
Second
9545
#16
11.14.8
15.010.2
Auto5.2
Teleop5.3
End0.7
red by 1.7
7439
#29
9.41.2
8.97.6
Auto3.7
Teleop5.0
End0.7
Third
9601
#18
6.14.1
6.110.2
Auto3.8
Teleop1.3
End1.0
Level
8070
#43
6.11.2
8.47.2
Auto2.6
Teleop2.9
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsEarned