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Red57
687416.6
955512.5
81469.5
Blue4
92816.6
81512.4
81668.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3326020406080574

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6874
#10
16.60.2
11.011.2
Auto3.5
Teleop12.5
End0.6
red by 8.5
8166
#14
8.12.3
9.87.5
Auto2.8
Teleop4.4
End0.9
Second
9555
#19
12.53.0
12.59.4
Auto4.4
Teleop7.5
End0.5
red by 5.9
9281
#36
6.61.8
6.24.4
Auto3.5
Teleop2.3
End0.8
Third
8146
#21
9.50.3
9.29.5
Auto4.8
Teleop3.5
End1.3
red by 7.2
8151
#51
2.42.3
8.36.1
Auto2.1
Teleop-0.2
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsEarned7%Ensemble oddsMissed