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Red74
588318.6
767211.7
969221.2
Blue74
687416.6
753926.3
698913.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57612040801007474

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9692
#12
21.20.2
21.321.6
Auto8.0
Teleop11.0
End2.2
blue by 5.0
26.30.3
25.926.3
Auto12.4
Teleop12.5
End1.3
Second
18.60.2
18.718.9
Auto6.4
Teleop10.5
End1.7
red by 2.0
6874
#10
16.60.3
16.316.6
Auto3.5
Teleop12.5
End0.6
Third
7672
#31
11.70.2
11.812.1
Auto6.9
Teleop3.7
End1.1
blue by 1.3
6989
#23
13.10.3
12.813.1
Auto5.2
Teleop7.4
End0.5