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Red77
566518.4
815925.7
641717.3
Blue83
69408.7
757620.0
805422.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69562040801001207783

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.70.3
25.525.7
Auto14.1
Teleop10.9
End0.8
red by 3.6
22.10.4
22.522.8
Auto9.6
Teleop11.1
End1.4
Second
18.40.3
18.218.4
Auto5.3
Teleop12.0
End1.1
blue by 1.6
20.00.4
20.420.7
Auto7.2
Teleop11.8
End1.0
Third
6417
#47
17.30.3
17.017.3
Auto5.7
Teleop9.6
End2.0
red by 8.6
6940
#33
8.70.5
9.29.7
Auto0.4
Teleop7.5
End0.8