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Red26
64316.5
91249.8
90262.3
Blue11
855716.4
82636.2
85848.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31250501001502002503003504002611

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9124
#18
9.81.8
10.48.6
Auto3.9
Teleop5.1
End0.9
blue by 6.6
8557
#20
16.41.3
7.96.5
Auto7.6
Teleop7.3
End1.6
Second
6431
#36
6.51.8
8.76.9
Auto3.5
Teleop1.7
End1.2
blue by 1.8
8584
#40
8.21.3
7.15.8
Auto3.7
Teleop4.1
End0.5
Third
9026
#34
2.31.8
8.16.3
Auto2.2
Teleop-0.2
End0.2
blue by 3.9
8263
#33
6.21.3
8.16.8
Auto3.0
Teleop2.6
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed