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Red25
694129.6
41913.9
74585.6
Blue19
879612.9
94401.8
49728.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions293110152025354045502519

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.61.8
11.810.0
Auto10.8
Teleop17.6
End1.2
red by 16.7
8796
#21
12.91.6
9.27.7
Auto7.1
Teleop4.5
End1.3
Second
7458
#44
5.61.8
9.67.8
Auto1.7
Teleop3.5
End0.4
blue by 2.6
4972
#41
8.21.6
9.57.9
Auto3.7
Teleop3.8
End0.7
Third
4191
#45
3.91.8
5.63.8
Auto2.9
Teleop1.1
End-0.1
red by 2.2
9440
#51
1.81.6
9.47.9
Auto1.4
Teleop-0.3
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed