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Red45
812711.4
763222.4
95475.1
Blue5
92472.3
88637.0
90953.9
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3626010203040506070455

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.41.5
13.915.4
Auto9.3
Teleop10.9
End2.2
red by 15.4
8863
#42
7.02.2
9.67.5
Auto1.8
Teleop4.5
End0.7
Second
8127
#23
11.41.5
7.99.4
Auto4.0
Teleop6.9
End0.4
red by 7.4
9095
#47DQ
3.92.2
6.24.0
Auto3.4
Teleop0.8
End-0.3
Third
9547
#48
5.11.5
9.411.0
Auto1.4
Teleop3.8
End-0.0
red by 2.8
9247
#50
2.32.2
8.76.5
Auto1.4
Teleop0.7
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed