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Red30
872519.0
683815.1
92318.7
Blue42
74659.5
816913.4
643614.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3937202530354550553042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8725
#10
19.00.5
13.012.5
Auto8.9
Teleop9.4
End0.7
red by 5.0
6436
#16
14.11.0
13.114.0
Auto3.5
Teleop9.4
End1.2
Second
6838
#17
15.10.5
14.614.0
Auto5.1
Teleop8.8
End1.1
red by 1.7
8169
#13
13.41.0
11.012.0
Auto5.9
Teleop5.8
End1.7
Third
9231
#26
8.70.5
7.26.7
Auto1.9
Teleop5.6
End1.1
blue by 0.8
7465
#15
9.51.0
9.310.3
Auto4.9
Teleop3.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed