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Red23
90439.7
850011.3
85848.2
Blue85
753620.5
755114.5
861328.3
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22360103040506070802385

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8500
#28Sur
11.30.2
5.96.1
Auto4.5
Teleop5.5
End1.3
blue by 16.9
28.34.3
10.514.8
Auto12.5
Teleop13.5
End2.3
Second
9043
#25
9.70.2
9.810.0
Auto5.3
Teleop3.1
End1.3
blue by 10.8
7536
#6Sur
20.54.3
11.615.9
Auto8.0
Teleop11.5
End1.1
Third
8584
#40
8.20.2
5.85.9
Auto3.7
Teleop4.1
End0.5
blue by 6.3
7551
#12
14.54.3
8.813.2
Auto5.2
Teleop6.7
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed