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Red45
900110.5
855716.4
763222.4
Blue31
49728.2
77585.5
623211.3
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3330102040504531

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.41.2
15.416.6
Auto9.3
Teleop10.9
End2.2
red by 11.1
6232
#14
11.30.4
9.09.4
Auto4.9
Teleop5.3
End1.1
Second
8557
#20
16.41.2
6.57.7
Auto7.6
Teleop7.3
End1.6
red by 8.2
4972
#41
8.20.4
7.98.3
Auto3.7
Teleop3.8
End0.7
Third
9001
#32
10.51.2
7.58.6
Auto2.6
Teleop5.9
End2.0
red by 5.0
7758
#49
5.50.4
10.410.8
Auto1.7
Teleop3.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed