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Red51
643614.1
90953.9
879612.9
Blue7
826410.8
82636.2
94401.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29260406080100120140160517

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6436
#16
14.11.7
14.015.7
Auto3.5
Teleop9.4
End1.2
red by 3.3
8264
#30
10.81.9
9.57.6
Auto5.1
Teleop3.4
End2.2
Second
8796
#21
12.91.7
7.79.4
Auto7.1
Teleop4.5
End1.3
red by 6.7
8263
#33
6.21.9
6.84.9
Auto3.0
Teleop2.6
End0.5
Third
9095
#47
3.91.7
4.05.7
Auto3.4
Teleop0.8
End-0.3
red by 2.1
9440
#51
1.81.9
7.96.0
Auto1.4
Teleop-0.3
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed