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Red34
816913.4
601414.0
64316.5
Blue40
88637.0
880623.8
92324.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3232102040503440

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6014
#43
14.00.5
10.811.3
Auto9.0
Teleop3.9
End1.0
blue by 9.9
23.80.8
12.713.4
Auto11.5
Teleop9.3
End3.1
Second
8169
#13
13.40.5
12.012.5
Auto5.9
Teleop5.8
End1.7
red by 6.4
8863
#42
7.00.8
7.58.2
Auto1.8
Teleop4.5
End0.7
Third
6431
#36
6.50.5
6.97.4
Auto3.5
Teleop1.7
End1.2
red by 2.3
9232
#19
4.20.8
8.08.8
Auto2.1
Teleop0.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed