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Red40
41913.9
763610.5
872519.0
Blue15
90262.3
902412.6
812711.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions342304060804015

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8725
#10
19.01.2
12.513.7
Auto8.9
Teleop9.4
End0.7
red by 6.4
9024
#31
12.60.8
6.15.3
Auto5.0
Teleop6.0
End1.6
Second
7636
#11
10.51.2
13.014.2
Auto2.3
Teleop6.7
End1.5
blue by 0.9
8127
#23
11.40.8
9.48.7
Auto4.0
Teleop6.9
End0.4
Third
4191
#45
3.91.2
3.85.0
Auto2.9
Teleop1.1
End-0.1
red by 1.6
9026
#34
2.30.8
6.35.6
Auto2.2
Teleop-0.2
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed